Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.193415 1.349840 1.520834 1.721914 1.952269 2.208338 2.515150
2025-12-14 0.934017 1.135118 1.372676 1.675112 2.051488 2.506497 3.101327
2025-12-21 0.757687 0.974893 1.247875 1.618460 2.111977 2.751531 3.651111
2025-12-28 0.677109 0.914846 1.229994 1.682388 2.321786 3.203066 4.526834
2026-01-04 0.610102 0.859584 1.205840 1.727594 2.504492 3.635263 5.436510
2026-01-11 0.554702 0.810854 1.181070 1.763525 2.672293 4.061754 6.396840
2026-01-18 0.505705 0.763905 1.150852 1.783759 2.813987 4.461613 7.370629
2026-01-25 0.453909 0.705809 1.095614 1.755642 2.871580 4.730134 8.162078
2026-02-01 0.400128 0.638207 1.017179 1.678828 2.835964 4.834415 8.677064
2026-02-08 0.360072 0.588251 0.961289 1.631811 2.842921 5.008795 9.339421
2026-02-15 0.327558 0.547324 0.915754 1.596493 2.864369 5.208608 10.075565
2026-02-22 0.313917 0.536949 0.920770 1.650683 3.054717 5.743770 11.554541
2026-03-01 0.294274 0.515256 0.905655 1.669932 3.188836 6.204002 12.992009
2026-03-08 0.270230 0.483439 0.869320 1.645325 3.235091 6.498482 14.134374
2026-03-15 0.245867 0.448671 0.824025 1.597950 3.229053 6.684267 15.069017
2026-03-22 0.238033 0.444109 0.835185 1.664485 3.469163 7.430978 17.453736
2026-03-29 0.228386 0.435031 0.836497 1.710633 3.671375 8.124421 19.847985
2026-04-05 0.218444 0.424348 0.833394 1.746790 3.855966 8.805407 22.349448
2026-04-12 0.207751 0.411096 0.823632 1.767067 4.006537 9.428398 24.826494
2026-04-19 0.193565 0.389344 0.794007 1.739336 4.039394 9.766472 26.586851
2026-04-26 0.176503 0.360081 0.745700 1.663336 3.944573 9.766031 27.376130
2026-05-03 0.163439 0.338256 0.711558 1.616807 3.917422 9.938566 28.717488
2026-05-10 0.152419 0.319947 0.683534 1.581847 3.915385 10.178493 30.318977